The Crimean Referendum Stir in Financial Markets

As for the results of the Crimean referendum there are new problems, especially in Russia and in Europe. This problem will enter a new phase for the United States and Russia. The financial markets will have spillover effects from the results of the referendum. U.S. stock decline on Friday’s close was the most seen in seven weeks. Investors believe that antagonism between Russia and the West as well as Ukraine will spread to the financial markets. Russian investors are especially worried that once the U.S. and European economic sanctions against Russia are in action, then the loss will be self-evident. With the current referendum in Crimea, there will be a new evolution of problems for the Ukraine. And the game of tug of war will go on.

Western Economic Sanction Programs:

1.Freezing of assets
2.Suspended lines of credit
3.Confiscation of property
4.Abolition trade negotiations
5.Visa restrictions on Russian elite, or the threat of expulsion from the Russian Group of Eight (G8).

Investor Outlook

Executive director Janlyn Capital of Andre Bakhos noted “In view of the impact of global geopolitics, new highs will be more difficult and I do not know the market release of these signals. The results would be very bleak, and one needs consider these problems and exercise caution when making macro trading decisions.”
London brokers and wealth managers, chief economist Jeremy Batstone-Carr said the geopolitical nightmares tend to transition into the market, so that investors may overreact in the face of such potential risks. Even so, once the crisis has erupted in Ukraine, and investors are busy at this time in the absence of income under the revised objectives of the European stock market.

Analysts Speculation

Analysts speculate the Euro could again impact 1.4000, but is expected to remain range bound; sterling short term will remain weak; the dollar / yen may weaken expected between 100.00-103.00; AUD / USD 0.9000 These are key points of concern, if the probability is held up.

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